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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.7% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 62.4% | +9.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.7% | +9.3 |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.8% | -24.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.9% | -0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.0% | -8.7 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Royal Oathguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |